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Wednesday, March 16, 2022

23 - News Dated 17th March 2022,


UKRAINE WAR,
Daily update ⋅ 17 March 2022

US promises more weapons as Ukraine accuses Russia of sickening shooting in bread line

Ukraine-Russia war live updates: E.U. leaders visit Kyiv as Ukraine officials see room for compromise
NBC News
Nearly 3 million people have now fled Ukraine since Russia invaded. The number of refugees who have left the country since the war began on Feb. 24 ...

Russia-Ukraine War Live Updates - The Indian Express
The Indian Express
Russia Ukraine War Crisis Live: Ukraine said it saw possible room for compromise Tuesday in talks with Russia, while Moscow's forces stepped up ...

Russia-Ukraine war: What happened today (March 15) - NPR
NPR
More than 3 million people have fled Ukraine since the war began, in one of the world's worst refugee crises, the United Nations says. The number of ...

Ukraine war update, March 15: India considers buying Russian oil - The Indian Express
The Indian Express
Today, March 15, is Day 21 of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Here's what you need to know about the war right now. Civilians are caught in the ...

Ukraine war: Zelensky asks Canada's parliament to 'Please close the sky' - BBC News
BBC
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has urged Canada to "do more" to protect his country from Russia in an address to a joint session of ...

Ukraine war: Infection and hunger as hundreds hide in Mariupol cellar - BBC News
BBC
Hundreds of people are crammed into the basement of a large public building in the besieged Ukrainian port city of Mariupol, but are running out ...

Russia-Ukraine war: Key things to know about the conflict | AP News
AP News
Russian forces kept up their assault on Ukraine on Monday, firing on suburbs around the capital of Kyiv and attacking other cities, even as the ...

Ukraine war: Russia slaps sanctions on US President Joe Biden, top officials | World News ...
Hindustan Times
Ukraine-Russia war: Russia foreign ministry said it was maintaining official relations with Washington and if necessary would make sure that ...

Ukraine war latest: Zelensky says peace talk positions 'more realistic' | Financial Times
Financial Times
Ukraine war round-up: Polish, Slovenian and Czech leaders arrive in Kyiv. FT reporters. Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy hosts Slovenian prime ...

Ukraine War: China and Russia feel "humiliated by the West" - YouTube
YouTube
Ukraine War: China and Russia feel "humiliated by the West" ... But he said China knows that open conflict disrupts the smooth flow of global ...

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Opinion:

It costs a lot to get into a war, and it costs even more to get out of it (as we have seen in Afghanistan and Iraq). In the wealthy democracies of today, jobs and standard of living are top priority for the voters. Ukraine doesn't have any material impact on either. The main preferred narrative here is about inequality, culture wars and race relations.

The Europeans have a long history of quarrelling among themselves. Finally, they have had some sort of peace over the last 70 years, combined with good jobs and standard of living. NATO is a US creation, which on the surface gives some semblance of unity. LIke the US, they don't really have the will to fight because voters are focused on other things. As long as the body bags are filled with Ukrainians, they will look the other way.

For dictatorships run by oligarchs, the calculations are different, because war is a convenient way to hide failures on other domestic fronts. 

I don't think the war will expand beyond Ukraine, because strong armies are backed by strong economies. Russia is 11th in GDP and knows its limits. 

Ukraine will be neutered and if it plays its cards right, it can end up like Finland.

The US is fortunate in that it is far from the world's hotspots. Its borders are either oceans or friendly countries that depend on its largesse. It primarily has to worry about nukes from afar. 

It is happy to make all the right noises, but equally willing to allow Ukraine to be the sacrificial goat. It is all about managing the economic and political return-risk tradeoffs.